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AI impact reportNo. 166 · revised 4 October 2026 · 202 roles covered

IT Systems Designers

AI augmenting solution modeling, component selection, and design validation.

Exposure
45
Elevated exposure
higher than 29% of 202 roles
Window
2–7 yrs
until change lands
Adoption today
Medium-High
Reading

The role is being reshaped.

Exposure is the share of today's work AI can plausibly take on within the window.

Readers' scoreloading
Readers say
—
We say
45
0┊ our figure 45100

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45

Elevated exposure

little of the workmost of the work
When does change land?
0/600

IT Systems Designers

45
01 Overview02 Where you stand03 What this means for you04 Drivers of change05 Impact by sector06 Skills to build07 Tools in use08 In practice09 How this role compares10 Closing judgement11 Evidence and revisions12 Readers' view13 Method and sources
§ 01What is happening

What is happening to it systems designers

Impact

AI tools are being used to help model complex IT systems, simulate performance of different architectures, suggest optimal components or configurations based on requirements, analyze security implications of designs, and even generate initial drafts of system diagrams or technical specifications.

Risk

Workflow augmentation; focus on complex requirements, innovative architectures, and strategic alignment.

The IT Systems Designer role will be significantly augmented by AI. AI can assist in analyzing requirements, exploring design alternatives, and automating parts of the documentation process. This allows designers to focus more on understanding complex business needs, architecting innovative and resilient solutions, ensuring scalability and security, and aligning IT architecture with long-term strategic business goals.

Sector readiness

Emerging in Design & Architecture Tools

AI capabilities are being integrated into enterprise architecture tools, cloud design platforms, and specialized modeling software. Generative AI is also being explored for creating initial design artifacts.

§ 02Position

Where you stand

i

The IT Systems Designer role is being significantly augmented by AI, which can assist in modeling, simulation, component selection, and documentation.

ii

AI provides tools to analyze complex requirements, explore design alternatives more rapidly, and automate parts of the design process.

iii

The future IT Systems Designer will focus on understanding deep business needs, architecting innovative and resilient solutions that leverage AI, ensuring security and scalability, and critically validating AI-generated design elements. Strategic vision and complex integration skills will be key.

§ 03Actions
15 points

What this means for you

Concrete changes to how the work gets done, in the order you are likely to meet them.

  1. 01

    AI-Assisted Requirements Analysis & Prioritization. Use AI tools to analyze stakeholder requirements, identify patterns, potential conflicts, or undocumented needs, and assist in prioritizing features.

  2. 02

    Generative Design for System Architectures (Initial Drafts). Employ AI to generate initial drafts of system architectures or component layouts based on specified constraints, performance goals, and functional requirements.

  3. 03

    Performance & Cost Modeling/Simulation. Leverage AI to simulate the performance, scalability, and cost implications of different design choices or technology stacks before implementation.

  4. 04

    Automated Component Selection & Compatibility Checking. AI tools might suggest optimal hardware/software components or cloud services based on project needs and check for interoperability issues.

  5. 05

    Security by Design Assistance. Utilize AI to analyze proposed architectures for potential security vulnerabilities or to recommend security best practices and controls.

  6. 06

    Focus on Complex Integration & Interoperability Challenges. With AI handling some component-level design, dedicate more effort to designing robust integrations between diverse systems and platforms.

  7. 07

    Architecting for AI & ML Workloads. Designing scalable and efficient infrastructure and data architectures specifically to support the organization's AI and machine learning initiatives.

  8. 08

    Cloud Architecture Optimization. Using AI to design and optimize cloud-native architectures for cost, performance, resilience, and security.

  9. 09

    Automated Generation of Design Documentation & Diagrams. Employ AI to assist in creating technical specifications, architecture diagrams, and other design documentation from models or descriptions.

  10. 10

    Validating AI-Generated Design Components. Critically reviewing and validating any system components or architectural patterns suggested or generated by AI to ensure they meet all requirements.

  11. 11

    Staying Abreast of Emerging Technologies & AI in Architecture. Continuously learning about new AI capabilities, architectural patterns, and how they can be applied to system design.

  12. 12

    Capacity Planning and Scalability Design. Using AI-driven forecasts to design systems that can scale effectively to meet future demand.

  13. 13

    Designing for Resilience & Disaster Recovery. Incorporating AI insights or using AI to model failure scenarios to design more resilient IT systems.

  14. 14

    Translating Business Strategy into Technical Architecture. The core human skill of understanding overarching business goals and designing IT systems that directly support them.

  15. 15

    Ethical Considerations in System Design (especially AI systems). Ensuring that designed systems (particularly those using AI) are fair, transparent, and avoid unintended biases or societal harm.

§ 04Causes
10 drivers

What is pushing this change

  1. 01

    Increasing Complexity & Scale of IT Systems. Modern IT solutions often involve many interconnected components, hybrid environments, and complex data flows that AI can help model and manage.

  2. 02

    Demand for Agile, Scalable & Resilient Architectures. Businesses need IT systems that can adapt quickly to changing needs, scale efficiently, and remain highly available; AI can assist in designing for these qualities.

  3. 03

    Advancements in Generative AI for Design & Modeling. AI models are increasingly capable of generating initial design drafts, suggesting components, or simulating system behavior based on requirements.

  4. 04

    Growth of Cloud Computing & Microservices Architectures. Designing and managing distributed, cloud-native applications and microservices architectures benefits from AI-driven modeling and optimization.

  5. 05

    Need for Faster Time-to-Market for New IT Solutions. AI can accelerate parts of the design and documentation process, helping to get new systems and applications deployed faster.

  6. 06

    Integration of AI into Enterprise Architecture & Design Tools. Software for enterprise architecture, system modeling, and even CAD are embedding AI features to assist designers.

  7. 07

    Focus on Security by Design & Proactive Risk Mitigation. AI tools can help analyze designs for potential security flaws or recommend best-practice security controls early in the design phase.

  8. 08

    Data-Driven Decision Making in Technology Selection. AI can analyze performance data, cost models, and compatibility information to support more informed technology choices.

  9. 09

    Requirement to Design Infrastructure for AI/ML Workloads. As organizations adopt AI, IT Systems Designers are tasked with creating the underlying infrastructure and data architectures to support these initiatives.

  10. 10

    Automation of Repetitive Design & Documentation Tasks. AI can automate the creation of standard diagrams, documentation from models, or initial drafts of technical specifications.

§ 05Variation
5 sectors

Impact by sector

The headline figure is an average. Where you work changes the picture.

Cloud Solutions Architects

Heavy use of AI for optimizing cloud resource configurations, cost management, designing serverless architectures, and ensuring cloud security and compliance.

Enterprise Architects

AI for modeling complex enterprise-wide systems, analyzing interdependencies, ensuring alignment with business strategy, and managing technology lifecycles.

Infrastructure Architects

AI for designing resilient and scalable on-premise or hybrid infrastructure, capacity planning, network design, and data center optimization.

Application / Software Architects

AI for designing microservices architectures, selecting appropriate technology stacks for applications, modeling application performance, and ensuring secure coding practices are designed in.

Data Architects

AI for designing data warehouses, data lakes, data pipelines for AI/ML, ensuring data governance, and optimizing database performance.

§ 06Preparation
8 skills

Skills to build

The skills that keep the human part of this work valuable as the routine part is automated.

  1. 01

    Deep Technical Knowledge (Multiple Domains: Cloud, Network, Security, Data, Apps). Broad and deep understanding of various IT technologies and how they interoperate to form complex systems.

  2. 02

    Strategic Thinking & Business Acumen. Ability to understand overarching business goals and translate them into effective, efficient, and future-proof IT architectures.

  3. 03

    Complex Problem-Solving & Analytical Skills. Analyzing complex requirements, identifying constraints, evaluating trade-offs, and designing optimal solutions, often augmented by AI simulations.

  4. 04

    Proficiency with Design/Modeling Tools & AI Design Assistants. Skill in using enterprise architecture tools, cloud design platforms, modeling software, and new AI tools that can generate or validate design components.

  5. 05

    Communication & Stakeholder Management. Clearly articulating complex architectural designs, trade-offs, and recommendations to both technical and non-technical stakeholders.

  6. 06

    Understanding of AI/ML Concepts & Infrastructure Needs. Knowing how to design infrastructure, data pipelines, and systems that can effectively support AI and machine learning workloads.

  7. 07

    Security Architecture & Risk Management. Designing systems with security as a foundational principle, identifying potential threats in architectures, and incorporating appropriate controls.

  8. 08

    Innovation & Adaptability to Emerging Technologies. Continuously learning about new technologies (especially AI), architectural patterns, and methodologies to design innovative solutions.

§ 07Instruments
11 entries

Tools in use

Kinds of tool worth knowing

  1. 01

    Enterprise Architecture (EA) Tools with AI features. Software for modeling enterprise architectures, managing technology portfolios, and planning transformations, increasingly with AI for insights.

  2. 02

    Cloud Provider Design & Costing Tools (with AI optimization). Tools from AWS, Azure, GCP that help design cloud architectures and use AI to optimize for cost, performance, or resilience.

  3. 03

    Generative AI for Diagramming & Documentation. LLMs and specialized diagramming tools that can generate initial drafts of system architecture diagrams or technical specifications from prompts.

  4. 04

    AI-Powered Code Analysis & Architecture Discovery Tools. Tools that can analyze existing codebases or systems to help map out current architectures or identify dependencies, sometimes using AI.

  5. 05

    Simulation & Modeling Software (increasingly AI-enhanced). Software used to model and simulate the behavior of complex systems, with AI enhancing predictive capabilities or scenario analysis.

  6. 06

    Requirements Management Tools with AI Analysis. Platforms for capturing and managing requirements that may use AI to identify inconsistencies, gaps, or to group related needs.

Named tools already in use

  • Sparx Systems Enterprise Architect / LeanIX / Ardoq (EA tools exploring AI)

    Comprehensive enterprise architecture modeling tools that are beginning to incorporate AI for analysis and suggestion.

  • AWS Well-Architected Tool / Azure Cost Management + Billing (with AI insights)

    Cloud provider tools that help design architectures according to best practices and use AI to provide recommendations for cost and performance optimization.

  • Lucidchart (with AI diagramming) / Miro (with AI features) / ChatGPT (for drafting descriptions)

    Diagramming and collaboration tools that are adding AI features to help generate diagrams from text, or LLMs used for drafting documentation.

  • CAST Highlight / Structure101 (for software intelligence, architecture analysis)

    Software intelligence platforms that analyze codebases to visualize architecture, identify technical debt, and assess complexity, sometimes using AI.

  • AnyLogic / Simulink (general simulation, AI can be integrated)

    General-purpose simulation software where AI can be used to build more complex models or optimize simulation parameters.

§ 08Examples
5 examples

In practice

Ways people in this role are already using AI, and what they get from it.

Generate Initial Cloud Architecture Diagrams with AIExample 1
How

Describe your desired cloud infrastructure components and relationships to an AI diagramming tool or LLM to get a first draft of the architecture diagram.

Gain

Speeds up the initial design and documentation process, provides a visual starting point for discussion, and helps ensure consistency.

Use AI to Simulate Performance of Different System DesignsExample 2
How

Input different architectural patterns or technology choices into an AI-powered simulation tool to compare their projected performance, scalability, and cost.

Gain

Enables more informed design decisions by quantitatively comparing alternatives, reducing the risk of performance issues or cost overruns post-implementation.

Leverage AI for Security Vulnerability Analysis in a DesignExample 3
How

Use AI security tools to analyze a proposed system architecture and identify potential weaknesses, misconfigurations, or missing security controls.

Gain

Helps build more secure systems from the ground up by identifying and addressing potential vulnerabilities early in the design lifecycle.

Automate Parts of Technical Specification WritingExample 4
How

Employ generative AI to help write initial drafts of sections for technical design documents, such as component descriptions or interface specifications, based on your outlines.

Gain

Reduces manual effort in documentation, ensures standard sections are covered, and allows more time for refining complex design details.

Get AI-Driven Recommendations for Cloud Service SelectionExample 5
How

Utilize AI features within cloud provider consoles or third-party tools that analyze your requirements and suggest optimal cloud services (e.g., instance types, database services) for cost and performance.

Gain

Leads to more cost-effective and performant cloud architectures by leveraging AI's ability to analyze a wide range of service options and pricing models.

§ 09Context

How this role compares

Three neighbouring roles chosen to show the direction of travel, then the roles either side of yours on the exposure scale.

Draftspersons (Basic technical drawing, non-design) / Junior System ConfiguratorsMore exposed
AI impact

High (AI can generate standard diagrams from models, automate basic system configurations based on templates, and create initial drafts of technical documentation)

Work moves to

Role may contract or evolve to managing AI design tools, validating AI outputs, or focusing on more complex, non-standard design tasks.

AI Infrastructure Engineers / MLOps EngineersDifferent skills, growing
AI impact

Foundational (They design and build the specialized, scalable infrastructure required to train and deploy AI/ML models, which IT Systems Designers plan for)

Work moves to

Deep expertise in cloud computing, containerization (Docker, Kubernetes), data pipelines, CI/CD for ML, and performance optimization for AI workloads.

Chief Technology Officers (CTOs) / Chief ArchitectsComplementary, less exposed · exposure 45
AI impact

High Strategic Dependence & Augmentation (They consume AI-driven analyses of technology trends, system performance, and architectural options to inform overall technology strategy and major design decisions)

Work moves to

Setting the long-term technology vision, driving innovation, managing enterprise-wide architectural standards, and making high-stakes technology investment decisions.

Nearby on the scaleExposure · window
  1. Social Workers

    455–10 yrs
  2. Software Architects

    452–6 yrs
  3. Video Game Designers

    453–7 yrs
  4. IT Systems Designers · this report

    452–7 yrs
  5. Air Traffic Controllers

    506–11 yrs
  6. Business Development Executives

    502–6 yrs
  7. Cloud Solutions Architects

    502–6 yrs
§ 10Verdict

Closing judgement

For IT Systems Designers, AI is a powerful conceptualization and modeling partner. It automates aspects of design generation and analysis, allowing designers to focus on strategic alignment, innovation, complex integrations, and ensuring that IT architectures are resilient, secure, and effectively support evolving business needs.

§ 11Basis
revised 4 October 2026

Evidence and revisions

What the exposure figure rests on, what changed when it was last revised, and the published work cited for this role.

Score

35 → 45

Window

3-8 years → 2-7 years

The 4 October 2026 review moved the score up by 10 points.

Microsoft's AI applicability score for the matching occupations is 0.28, in the top quarter of 785 US occupations; Anthropic's observed exposure (the share of the occupation's tasks already being done with Claude) is 0.26, which is substantial by the standards of the 756 occupations measured; the US Bureau of Labor Statistics places it in the 'very high' AI-exposure tier; BLS projects employment to grow 6.4% over 2025–35. Blending our 2025 editorial figure (60%) with the 2026 evidence composite (40%) moves the score from 35 to 45 and shortens the window from 3-8 years to 2-7 years.

Measures behind the score4 sources

US Bureau of Labor Statistics · Employment Projections 2025–35 and AI Exposure Categories

Official statistics · 27 August 2026

AI-exposure tier: Very high. Projected employment change 2025–35: +6.4%. Matched to Computer network architects; Computer occupations, all other.

Publisher PDF Archived copy Data

Microsoft Research · Working with AI: Measuring the Applicability of Generative AI to Occupations

Working paper · 10 July 2025

AI applicability score 0.28 (percentile 85 of 785 occupations) for SOC 15-1299, 15-1241.

Anthropic · Anthropic Economic Index report: Cadences

Report · 26 June 2026

Observed exposure 0.26 for SOC 15-1299, 15-1241 (percentile 89 of 756 occupations).

UK Department for Science, Innovation and Technology · Assessment of AI capabilities and the impact on the UK labour market

Report · 28 January 2026

UK context: around 70% of UK workers are in occupations with tasks AI could perform or enhance, above the US average; a one-standard-deviation rise in exposure was associated with a 3.9% fall in UK job postings.

Archived copies are served only where the licence permits; otherwise the link goes to the publisher. Full research library →

§ 12Second opinion

Readers' view

What people who do this work make of our reading: their own scores, their reasons, and the notes they left on each section.

Our report is one reading of the evidence. This section is the other dataset: what people who do or know this work make of it. Nobody has scored this role yet. Sign in to add yours.

Scoresreaders vs. our figure
Readers (mean)

—

Readers (median)

—

CareerGuard

45

0┊ our figure 45100
Why readers chose their number

No one has explained their score yet. A line or two about what you see in your own work is the most useful thing on this page.

Most helpful notes

No notes yet. Every section above has a “Readers' notes” line at the bottom; open one and say what you know.

§ 13Appendix

Method and sources

Each report was written from a large body of published research and then, in October 2026, re-scored against occupation-level evidence: the US Bureau of Labor Statistics AI-exposure classification and 2025–35 projections, Microsoft Research’s AI applicability scores and Anthropic’s observed-exposure data, cross-checked against the reports listed in the Evidence section above. The organisations and publications below are the standing literature behind the narrative sections. Every source, with dates, licences and archived copies where we are permitted to hold them, is catalogued in the research library.

Scores are revised by blending the previous editorial figure (60%) with a composite of the three occupation-level measures (40%), capped at fifteen points per revision and rounded to the nearest five. The window shifts one notch when a score moves ten points or more. Hand adjustments are recorded with their reason in the revision log.

Research library: every source, with dates, licences and archived copies →

IGlobal and macroeconomic impact of AI on work
World Economic Forum
The Future of Jobs Report series — Employer survey of expected job growth and decline, skill shifts and technology adoption (2020, 2023 and 2025 editions); Artificial Intelligence and the Future of Entry-Level Work (2026).
AI governance and transformation reports — Frameworks on ethical AI, talent strategy and industry transformation.
McKinsey Global Institute
AI, Automation and the Future of Work series — Research quantifying automation potential by task, sector and demographic, from "Jobs Lost, Jobs Gained" to "Agents, robots, and us" (2025).
Industry-specific reports — Financial services, healthcare, manufacturing and others.
PwC
Global AI Jobs Barometer — Annual analysis of job postings and productivity by AI exposure (2024–2026 editions).
Upskilling Hopes and Fears survey — Employee perceptions and readiness.
Microsoft Research and Anthropic
Working with AI (2025); Anthropic Economic Index (2025–2026) — Occupation-level usage data from Copilot and Claude conversations, the two observed-usage measures behind the 2026 revision.
Stanford Digital Economy Lab and Stanford HAI
Canaries in the Coal Mine? (2025–2026); AI Index Report (annual) — Payroll evidence on early-career employment in exposed occupations; annual measurement of AI capability, investment and adoption.
Deloitte
Human Capital Trends series — Workforce, talent and HR technology trends.
Tech Trends series — Emerging technologies and their business implications.
Accenture
Technology Vision series — Forward-looking analysis of emerging technology, with emphasis on AI.
Fjord Trends — Design, innovation and human experience in a digital world.
Boston Consulting Group
AI/ML insights and industry solutions — "The AI Revolution in the Workplace" and related research.
EY
AI and workforce reports — Adoption, talent strategy and ethics.
IBM Institute for Business Value
AI and automation studies — Business models, workforce evolution and leadership.
OECD
AI Policy Observatory — International data and policy on AI, labour markets and skills.
Employment Outlook — Labour-market trends including technological impact (2023–2026 editions).
International Labour Organization
Generative AI and Jobs: A Refined Global Index of Occupational Exposure (2025) — Task-level exposure gradients for every ISCO occupation; successor to the 2023 global index.
International Monetary Fund
Staff Discussion Notes on AI and work (2024, 2026) — Complementarity framing: where AI augments and where it substitutes.
UK Department for Science, Innovation and Technology
Assessment of AI capabilities and the impact on the UK labour market (2026) — UK occupational exposure and job-posting evidence.
Brookings Institution
AI and automation research — Economic and social implications, displacement and skills.
Yale Budget Lab and Goldman Sachs Research
Tracking the Impact of AI on the Labor Market; AI and the US labour market (2026) — Aggregate labour-market monitoring; macro displacement estimates.
Oxford University (Oxford Martin School)
The Future of Employment — Frey & Osborne and subsequent research on susceptibility to automation.
MIT Technology Review
AI & Work — Reporting on AI research and its implications for industries and jobs.
Gartner
Hype Cycle for Artificial Intelligence — Maturity and adoption of AI technologies.
Future of Work reports — Workplace models and talent strategy.
U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
Employment Projections 2025–35; AI Exposure Categories; Occupational Outlook Handbook — Ten-year employment projections and, from the 2025 cycle, an AI-exposure tier for every detailed occupation.
Indeed Hiring Lab
AI at Work Report (2025) and posting-market updates — Skill-level transformation estimates and job-posting trends by occupation.
IICore AI and machine-learning research
OpenAI
Research papers, blog and API documentation — Large language models, generative AI, safety and societal impact.
Google DeepMind
Research papers and blog — Reinforcement learning, AI for science, AGI and ethics.
Meta AI
Research papers and blog — Large language models, computer vision, AI for social good.
Hugging Face
Transformers library and model hub — Open-source state-of-the-art NLP models.
TensorFlow and PyTorch
Documentation and community forums — Core frameworks illustrating practical capability.
arXiv
cs.AI, cs.LG, cs.CV, cs.CL — Pre-print research.
NeurIPS and ICML
Conference proceedings — Top-tier academic research.
ACM and IEEE
Journals and proceedings — ACM Computing Surveys; IEEE Transactions on AI.
Kaggle
Datasets and competition solutions — Applied machine learning on real-world problems.
The Alan Turing Institute
Research and reports — Responsible and applied AI.
IIIEthical and responsible AI deployment
NIST
AI Risk Management Framework — Voluntary framework for managing AI risk.
European Commission
AI Act — Risk-tiered legal framework for AI.
Ethics Guidelines for Trustworthy AI — Principles for responsible development.
Partnership on AI
Research and best practice — Responsible AI development.
AI Now Institute
Annual reports — Social implications: power, inequality, rights.
ACM FAccT
Proceedings — Fairness, accountability and transparency.
Data & Society
Publications — Social implications of data-centric technology.
WIPO
Conversation on IP and AI — Intellectual-property implications of AI.
IEEE Global Initiative on Ethics of A/IS
Ethically Aligned Design — Recommendations for ethical AI design.
Center for AI and Digital Policy
Policy briefs — Accountable AI policy.
Report No. 166 · IT Systems DesignersPDF · Markdown · Research library · Reading →